The Golden Knights are favored at -150 as they face off against the Penguins on Sunday afternoon.
The Penguins have achieved a perfect 5-0 record in their last five matchups against teams from the Western Conference, and the home side has emerged victorious in seven consecutive encounters within this rivalry.
Continue reading for my analysis and predictions on the Golden Knights vs Penguins matchup, along with the most recent injury updates for Sunday’s afternoon game.
The Vegas Golden Knights (28-17-14, 14-9-7 on the road) conclude a five-game away stretch on Sunday afternoon in Pittsburgh, facing off against the Penguins (30-15-13, 14-8-7 at home). While the latest NHL odds favor Vegas, the Penguins have had the upper hand in this matchup at home lately.
The game is scheduled to begin at 1 pm ET at PPG Paints Arena, with TNT handling the broadcast coverage.
Here are my predictions and picks for the Golden Knights vs Penguins matchup, along with the most recent injury updates as we approach Sunday’s game.
Prediction for the Golden Knights versus Penguins matchup
Penguins moneyline at +130 on FanDuel
Brady Trettenero Betting Odds Home Team Moneyline NHL • Vegas Golden Knights vs. Pittsburgh Penguins 128 on FanDuel Check out all 1 selections Betslip #1772356410580-481c-541
My prediction for the Golden Knights vs Penguins matchup favors Pittsburgh at favorable odds. The home team has triumphed in the last seven encounters between these two teams, while Vegas has struggled with an 0-4 record in their recent visits to PPG Paints Arena. Additionally, the Penguins have won their last five games against teams from the Western Conference and are 4-0 in their previous four matchups against the Pacific Division.
Head-to-head outcomes for Golden Knights against Penguins
Results for the Date O/U (6) Mar 11, 2025: PIT 3 – VEG 2 OT Under. On Mar 7, 2025: VEG 4 – PIT 0 Under. On Jan 20, 2024: VEG 3 – PIT 2 Under. On Nov 19, 2023: PIT 3 – VEG 0 Under.
Looking past the current trends, the Golden Knights have lost their last six games when playing with just one day of rest, and they hold a 1-5 record in their previous six matchups against teams from the Eastern Conference. Additionally, this game is set to begin at 1 pm ET, which translates to 10 am in Vegas. The Penguins, on the other hand, are coming off a shootout defeat to the Rangers and will be playing without a day off, but they have shown resilience in back-to-back games this season.
The advantage in goaltending is significant as well. Arturs Silovs is expected to start for Pittsburgh following Stuart Skinner’s appearance on Saturday, and Silovs performed well in his previous game, conceding only one goal on 31 shots against New Jersey. On the other hand, Vegas will rely on Akira Schmid, who has a 2.55 GAA but has shown inconsistency, with save percentages dipping below .900 in three of his last five games.
Predictions for the Golden Knights against the Penguins
Fewer than 6.5 Goals (-120 at DraftKings)
Brady Trettenero’s Betting Odds for Under +6.5 on the NHL Matchup • Vegas Golden Knights vs. Pittsburgh Penguins -120 available on DraftKings Check out all 1 selections Betslip #1772356430700-481c-428
The under has prevailed in four consecutive matchups, and none of the last four encounters in this rivalry have seen more than five goals scored. Pittsburgh holds the second spot in penalty kill efficiency (84.12%), while Vegas ranks second in the fewest penalty minutes per game (6.88). Both teams are effectively avoiding unnecessary power-play opportunities, which constrains the potential for scoring.
For my top pick in the Golden Knights vs Penguins matchup, I favor the under, particularly with Silovs appearing sharp and both squads exhibiting strong defensive play. The Penguins have conceded only 25 goals in their past 10 outings, averaging 2.5 goals against per game.
Odds for the Golden Knights against the Penguins
As of March 1, according to consensus sportsbooks, new bettors can utilize the FanDuel promo code to wager on today’s NHL games.
The current odds for the Golden Knights vs Penguins matchup show Vegas at approximately -150 on the moneyline, while Pittsburgh is positioned as the home underdog at +130. The puck line is established at -1.5 for the Knights, offering +162, and the total is set at 6.5, with the under priced at -120.
Injury Updates for Golden Knights vs Penguins
The most significant update regarding the Golden Knights vs Penguins injury situation involves Sidney Crosby, who is still sidelined due to a leg injury sustained during the Olympics. Prior to his injury, he recorded 27 goals and 32 assists (59 points) across 56 games. In his absence, Evgeni Malkin and Bryan Rust have risen to the occasion, while Kris Letang has continued to perform well defensively.
The Penguins are also missing defenseman Jack St. Ivany due to a hand injury, while Filip Hallander is considered day-to-day with a leg issue. The Golden Knights will be without Carter Hart (leg), William Karlsson (lower body), and Brett Howden (lower body), and Jonas Rondbjerg is listed as day-to-day with an undisclosed injury.
